Dubai · Carbon & Commodity Risk

Compliance has a price curve. We help you flatten it.

CarbonHedge FZCO is a commodity risk house based in Dubai. We price, structure and execute hedging across carbon allowances, environmental certificates, energy, metals and freight — so the cost of decarbonising your business stops behaving like a surprise.

Hedged versus unhedged compliance cost An illustrative chart. The unhedged spot cost swings widely, while the hedged position stays inside a narrow, predictable corridor. Unhedged spot cost Hedged corridor T0 T+36M
Illustrative only. Not a forecast or an indication of achievable prices.

Coverage

  • EU & UK ETS
  • CBAM & CORSIA
  • Voluntary carbon
  • Power, gas & LNG
  • LME metals
  • Freight & bunkers

The regulatory clock

The deadlines that create the exposure.

2026

CBAM enters its definitive period. Importers of covered goods must buy and surrender certificates against embedded emissions.

2027

EU ETS 2 launches, extending allowance pricing to fuels for buildings, road transport and smaller industry.

−2%

FuelEU Maritime GHG intensity reduction already binding on in-scope vessels, tightening to −6% from 2030.

2034

Free allocation for CBAM sectors fully phased out, with the reduction stepping up every year from 2026.

Indicative timeline based on EU legislation as adopted. Scope, dates and calculation methods continue to evolve — we track them as part of every mandate.

Why CarbonHedge

Built for the part of the transition that shows up on the P&L.

Decarbonisation strategy is well served. The treasury consequence of it is not. That gap is where we work.

  • Regulatory fluency, not generic commodity coverage

    Reading the rulebook is part of the job. Allocation methodology, surrender deadlines, eligibility criteria and the definitions that decide whether a tonne counts.

  • One counterparty across correlated risks

    Carbon, power, gas, metals and freight under one mandate, so the hedges net against each other instead of being managed by four separate desks.

  • Dubai as the working bridge

    A time zone that covers the European compliance session and the Asian trading day, and a jurisdiction that sits comfortably between both sets of counterparties.

A worked exposure map

Illustrative annual exposure for a mid-size European cement producer.

  • EU ETS allowances, net of free allocation620,000 t
  • Electricity, indirect carbon pass-through180 GWh
  • Thermal fuel & alternative fuel blend2.4 PJ
  • CBAM-exposed clinker imports95,000 t
  • Inbound dry bulk freight1.1 m t

Five line items, four markets, one correlated risk. Hedged separately they fight each other; hedged together they can be sized against a single budget rate.

Industries

Where the exposure concentrates.

Every sector meets the carbon price at a different point in its cost base. We start from the mechanism that actually binds you.

Cement, lime & steel

Free allocation is shrinking while CBAM attaches a cost to imported substitutes. Both sides of the trade move at once.

Aviation

EU ETS aviation scope, CORSIA offsetting obligations and a SAF mandate that prices jet fuel in two currencies.

Shipping

EU ETS maritime phase-in alongside FuelEU Maritime intensity targets, pooling and penalty exposure.

Chemicals & refining

Process emissions, hydrogen economics and feedstock switching decisions that hinge on a forward carbon curve.

Power & utilities

Clean spark and dark spreads, PPA structuring and guarantee-of-origin sourcing across multiple delivery zones.

Data centres & technology

Hourly matched clean energy claims, I-REC and GO procurement, and the credibility standard behind each claim.

How we work

Four steps, in order, every time.

No mandate starts with a trade. It starts with an honest measurement of what you are actually exposed to, and a policy you can show a board.

We work through your installations, entities and contracts to build a tonne-by-tonne and MWh-by-MWh picture of what is exposed, over which years, and against which regulatory mechanism. Where data is incomplete, we say so and size the uncertainty rather than hiding it in an average.

Together we agree a budget rate, a minimum and maximum coverage ratio per tenor, the instruments permitted, and who may authorise what. This becomes a short written document that your finance function, auditor and board can all read in one sitting.

Coverage is built progressively against the calendar in the policy, not in a single decision. You see the price, the counterparty and the all-in cost on every layer, and each one is reconciled against the mandate before it is placed.

Physical units are delivered into your registry account and surrendered or retired against the correct compliance year. You receive position and mark-to-market reporting throughout, and the policy is reviewed each year against what the regulation has since become.

Next step

Tell us what you are exposed to.

A first conversation is a structured review of your exposure, not a pitch. If a hedge is not the right answer for you this year, we will say so.